The Ammonia Observatory research team is currently active across six workstreams — from global pricing databases to infrastructure gap analysis. This page sets out what we are working on, what is coming next, and how you can contribute.
A structured database of green ammonia price signals — spot, contract, and indicative — across key regional markets including NW Europe, Middle East, South Asia, and East Asia. We are collecting, cleaning, and contextualising publicly available price data and triangulating against natural gas and grey ammonia benchmarks to build the first open-access pricing dataset for the green ammonia market.
A comprehensive database mapping ammonia-relevant port infrastructure worldwide — storage capacity, handling equipment, safety certifications, bunkering readiness, and announced investment plans. We are surveying the top 80 ports across all major shipping corridors to identify where the infrastructure gap is most acute and where investment is most urgently needed ahead of the 2030 IMO targets.
A systematic review of ammonia cracking technologies — catalytic, plasma, and electrochemical — benchmarking energy efficiency, scale readiness, and cost trajectories. We are mapping every known developer from pilot to commercial stage and building a Technology Readiness Level (TRL) scorecard to help investors and offtakers understand which solutions are genuinely close to commercial deployment.
A structured database of publicly announced offtake agreements, memoranda of understanding, and letters of intent for green ammonia — including parties, volumes, price mechanisms, and delivery corridors where disclosed. This is designed to give a clearer picture of actual demand signals versus speculative project announcements, and to track how offtake structures are evolving as the market matures.
A country-by-country index scoring the regulatory environment for green ammonia production, import, and use across 30 key markets. We are assessing hydrogen strategies, carbon pricing frameworks, port regulations, safety standards for ammonia bunkering, and subsidy mechanisms — to help developers and investors compare jurisdictional readiness at a glance.
A publicly accessible LCOA model covering the key cost components — electrolyser capex and efficiency, renewable electricity cost by region, nitrogen separation, Haber-Bosch synthesis, and financing assumptions. We are building open-source scenario models for 12 production geographies to allow cost comparisons across export corridors and to track how costs are evolving as the industry scales.
A structured review of publicly reported ammonia safety incidents at production, storage, and handling facilities — to build an evidence base for safety standards development as the industry scales into new geographies and applications, particularly maritime bunkering.
A corridor-by-corridor economic analysis of green ammonia export routes — comparing production cost at source, shipping cost, reconversion cost at destination, and landed cost versus competing fuels and local production. Covering 15 major export corridors.
A scoring framework to assess which announced green ammonia projects have genuine final investment decision (FID) potential — evaluating offtake security, financing structure, regulatory approvals, grid connection status, and developer track record. Applied to the top 50 projects in our tracker.
A technical review of direct ammonia combustion engine performance — comparing MAN B&W, Wärtsilä, and emerging developers across efficiency, NOx emissions, power output, and retrofit potential. Aimed at shipping companies evaluating fuel switching strategies ahead of IMO 2030.
Green ammonia production is ultimately constrained by electrolyser manufacturing capacity. We will map global electrolyser production capacity, announced expansion plans, and key supply chain bottlenecks — and model how these constraints may delay green ammonia project timelines through to 2030.
A comparative review of emerging green ammonia certification schemes — CertifHy, TÜV SÜD, and others — assessing their methodologies, criteria for "green" classification, and compatibility with importing country regulations. Critical for trade flows as certification requirements become a commercial and regulatory reality.
We welcome data submissions, expert input, and collaboration proposals from researchers, developers, port operators, policymakers, and anyone working in the ammonia energy space. If you have data that would improve our work — or want to collaborate on a research workstream — get in touch.